金融資料帖之一----中國JIN一路緊盯追蹤 (發表於12年前)

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這是我在北美股市OP的第一個BB.它的表現讓我學到了許多。承接以下這三個帖

這是產能情況的一些分析:
www.westca.com/Forums/...ml#3781256

2011年12月前後的操作回顧:
www.westca.com/Forums/...ml#3770563

金價分析:
www.westca.com/Forums/...ml#3797037

俺一貫習慣自言自語。如果說俺身上還能找出啥突出特點的話,就是堅持、打不S小強的永不放棄

此為資料帖,請多包涵

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這是張2012-08-07的日線圖

1：買入點：07-30：2.4前後，最低為2.32
2：賣出點：08-07：3.03，今日最高為3.09，日漲幅最高處為9.6%

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這是今日周線圖。從周線圖上分析，此股還沒到賣出時機

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2012-08-07的道指日線圖。分析周線，也可見道指接近賣出區。

CGG200日移動平均線在3.2，阻力位在3.4前後，但連續四日的陽線卻沒有量的配合

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這張是今日紐約市場的金價圖

實時圖可以在以下網站動態看到:
www.goldprice.org/spot-gold.html

這張是過往17年以來的金價走勢圖

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今日金價多空二張ETF同樣位居在中段。未來幾天上、下、盤概率各自存在,各為1/3。但多的力量略強

多頭:

空頭:

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國際期貨市場金價遠期看漲，到年底前後還是盤整態勢：

GCG13 (Feb '13)1,615.0s	-3.3	1,616.3	1,620.6 1,614.8	1,618.3	1,016
GCJ13 (Apr '13) 1,617.0s	-3.3	1,620.1	1,621.8 1,617.0	1,620.3	227
GCM13 (Jun '13)1,619.0s	-3.3	0.0	1,619.0 1,619.0 1,622.3	199

GCQ13 (Aug '13)1,620.9s	-3.3	0.0	1,620.9	1,620.9	1,624.2	82
GCV13 (Oct '13)1,623.0s	-3.2	0.0	1,623.0	1,623.0	1,626.2	2
GCZ13 (Dec '13)1,625.3s	-3.1	1,628.6	1,628.7	1,625.2	1,628.4	108
GCG14 (Feb '14)1,627.7s	-3.0	0.0	1,627.7	1,627.7	1,630.7	0
GCJ14 (Apr '14)1,630.2s	-2.9	0.0	1,630.2	1,630.2	1,633.1	0
GCM14 (Jun '14)1,632.7s	-2.9	0.0	1,632.7	1,632.7	1,635.6	146
GCZ14 (Dec '14)1,640.7s	-2.6	0.0	1,640.7	1,640.7	1,643.3	125
GCM15 (Jun '15)1,649.3s	-2.0	0.0	1,649.3	1,649.3	1,651.3	192
GCZ15 (Dec '15)1,659.1s	-1.7	0.0	1,659.1	1,659.1	1,660.8	169
GCM16 (Jun '16)1,669.5s	-1.1	0.0	1,669.5	1,669.5	1,670.6	0
GCZ16 (Dec '16)1,681.3s	-0.5	0.0	1,681.3	1,681.3	1,681.8	205
GCM17 (Jun '17)1,695.5s	-0.5	0.0	1,695.5	1,695.5	1,696.0	0
GCZ17 (Dec '17)1,716.6s	-0.5	0.0	1,716.6	1,716.6	1,717.1	0
GCM18 (Jun '18 )1,738.0s	-0.5	0.0	1,738.0	1,738.0	1,738.5	0

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Support/Resistance Levels

Price

Key Turning Points

52 Week High	1,934.6
14 Day RSI at 80%	1,800.3
1,782.0	38.2% Retracement from 52 Week High
1,734.8	50% Retracement from 52 Week High/Low
14 Day RSI at 70%	1,690.4
1,687.6	38.2% Retracement from 52 Week Low
13 Week High	1,646.4
4 Week High	1,633.3
Pivot Point 2nd Level Resistance	1,625.3
1,620.0	14-3 Day Raw Stochastic at 80%
1,619.8	Price Crosses 18 Day Moving Average Stalls
Pivot Point 1st Level Resistance	1,619.1
1,618.0	Price Crosses 40 Day Moving Average Stalls
1,615.0	Pivot Point
1,613.3	14-3 Day Raw Stochastic at 70%

Current Price

1,613.1

Current Price

1,612.7	14 Day %k Stochastic Stalls
1,612.2	Price Crosses 9 Day Moving Average
1,612.2	Price Crosses 9 Day Moving Average
Pivot Point 1st Level Support	1,608.8
1,608.6	3-10 Day MACD Oscillator Stalls
1,606.5	3-10-16 Day MACD Moving Average Stalls
1,605.1	38.2% Retracement from 4 Week High
Pivot Point 2nd Level Support	1,604.7
1,604.0	38.2% Retracement from 13 Week High
1,602.6	14 Day RSI at 50%
1,601.8	Price Crosses 18 Day Moving Average
1,600.1	14-3 Day Raw Stochastic at 50%
1,600.0	Price Crosses 40 Day Moving Average
1,596.8	Price Crosses 9 Day Moving Average Stalls
1,596.4	50% Retracement from 4 Week High/Low
1,595.1	14 Day %d Stochastic Stalls
1,590.9	50% Retracement from 13 Week High/Low
1,587.7	38.2% Retracement from 4 Week Low
1,586.8	14-3 Day Raw Stochastic at 30%
1,580.1	14-3 Day Raw Stochastic at 20%
1,577.8	38.2% Retracement from 13 Week Low
4 Week Low	1,559.5
1,543.1	Price Crosses 18-40 Day Moving Average
13 Week Low	1,535.4
52 Week Low	1,535.0
14 Day RSI at 30%	1,501.0
1,474.1	Price Crosses 9-40 Day Moving Average
1,436.2	Price Crosses 9-18 Day Moving Average
14 Day RSI at 20%	1,374.1

barchart.com/cheatshee...?sym=GCZ12

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綜上所述(2012-08-07):

1 cgg的走勢和金價的關系不十分密切,但作為炒家還是可用金價的起伏作為消息面題材;

2金價近期來看,多頭勢力略趨強勢;但還將呈現上下盤整;做ETF以DT或短期為主的獲利游走op

3Indu 開始出現釋放多頭的要求,但能否再現2012年1月的多頭超買,且猶豫中

4消息面來看,CGG最近的消息是在6月27日的收購:
China Gold International Acquires Shares in China Nonferrous Mining Corporation Limited

finance.yahoo.com/news...00582.html

5因獲利已達25%,暫時離場觀望

過幾天再來回顧、做功課

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2002-08-8復盤回顧:

金價現居1618,略升6點,逼近第一阻力位;
道指漂移浮動,小步舞曲,先跌後小漲7點

CGG早盤開市後,立即從昨日2.99拉升到3.08,10分鍾後,主力洗碼結束,一路走低,以2.88收市,比我昨日賣出點-6.9%。盤中繼續無量,輕觸50日線未果

昨日賣出再次印證了我的收莊稼理論。短期來看,操作無誤。中短期我認為趨勢是盤整態。中期趨勢,再看再報