[GreaterFool]

Moody’s analysis contemplates 44% drop in Canadian housing prices
13/03/12 2:01 PM ET
business.financialpost...=7ded-fac6

A severe economic shock, such as the kind that hit Japan in the early 1990s and California and Nevada in 2006, would have to knock Canadian housing prices down by 44% to cause securities linked to Canadian mortgages to lose the highest ratings assigned by Moody’s Investors Service.
一個嚴重的經濟沖擊,可能讓加國房價下跌44%, 負面影響房貸證卷評級。

“As with Australia, Spain and the U.K., we expect house prices in Canada to suffer the most due to the misalignment of current house prices with historic fundamentals,” Moody’s said.
Moody's 認為加拿大的房市,如同澳洲,西班牙,及英國,會受到最重大的創傷, 因為房價與經濟基礎脫離太遠了。

In Canada, the growth in house prices over the past 10 years has ‘’far outstripped” the growth in incomes, according to Moody’s.
在加拿大,房價10年來的漲幅遠遠超過收入的漲幅。

“Think of it like an elastic [being stretched],” explains Mr. Connor of National Bank Financial. “The snap back is going to be a lot harder.”
就像一條拉地很緊的橡皮筋一般,他的回彈將是極為猛烈的。

[fangpao]

可惜moody說了不算。

[GreaterFool]

fangpao 寫道:

可惜moody說了不算。

也可惜 Fitch 說了也不算 ; )

Canadian home prices overvalued by about 20%: Fitch
Mar 4, 2013
business.financialpost...-20-fitch/

Canadian home prices are overvalued by about 20%, according to Fitch Ratings, which unveiled a new credit rating model Monday that measures sustainable home prices, factoring in “stressed” market declines based on the U.S. experience.

[fangpao]

GreaterFool 寫道:

也可惜 Fitch 說了也不算 ; ) Canadian home prices overvalued by about 20%: Fitch Mar 4, 2013 business.financialpost...-20-fitch/ Canadian home prices are overvalued by about 20%, according to Fitch Ratings, which unveiled a new credit rating model Monday that measures sustainable home prices, factoring in “stressed” market declines based on the U.S. experience.

what is Fitch? F@$%# Xitch?:lol:

[寧靜]

"A severe economic shock", 大傻能說出上一次加拿大”severe economic shock”發生在什麼時候嗎?

這個分析的意義就如同某專家給**檢查身體(算命),預測說如果得了絕症或被原子彈炸了,存活預期將會減少44年。

[GreaterFool]

看來中文媒體又比GF晚了好幾個小時
本來還以為這新聞會被"選擇性不播報"

世界日報: 穆迪:經濟若動盪 加房價恐跌44%

信用評等機構∶若經濟大動蕩 加國房價將跌44%

[ye2808]

世界第一泡沫,大家小心為妙呀!真趕上下跌44%的話連本都丟了.

[發貼賺鎊]

GreaterFool 寫道:

看來中文媒體又比GF晚了好幾個小時 本來還以為這新聞會被"選擇性不播報" 世界日報: 穆迪:經濟若動盪 加房價恐跌44% 信用評等機構∶若經濟大動蕩 加國房價將跌44%

GF 同學,你自己信這44%麼?

還是只是盼著或幫著敲敲邊鼓?

以目前形勢看,別說再下44%了,再下個4.4%都夠艱難的哈。

[子夜歌]

大黃蜂 寫道:

GreaterFool 寫道: 看來中文媒體又比GF晚了好幾個小時 本來還以為這新聞會被"選擇性不播報" 世界日報: 穆迪:經濟若動盪 加房價恐跌44% 信用評等機構∶若經濟大動蕩 加國房價將跌44% GF 同學,你自己信這44%麼? 還是只是盼著或幫著敲敲邊鼓? 以目前形勢看,別說再下44%了,再下個4.4%都夠艱難的哈。

穆迪的這個判斷稱得上至高無上的真理:
如果把加拿大換成地球上古今中外任何一個國家或地區,都成立:

如果經濟動蕩,XXX房價將跌44%

這不廢話嗎。

難道還能經濟動蕩,房價升44%不成?

[飛天2012]

GreaterFool 寫道:

Moody’s analysis contemplates 44% drop in Canadian housing prices 13/03/12 2:01 PM ET business.financialpost...=7ded-fac6 A severe economic shock, such as the kind that hit Japan in the early 1990s and California and Nevada in 2006, would have to knock Canadian housing prices down by 44% to cause securities linked to Canadian mortgages to lose the highest ratings assigned by Moody’s Investors Service. 一個嚴重的經濟沖擊,可能讓加國房價下跌44%, 負面影響房貸證卷評級。 “As with Australia, Spain and the U.K., we expect house prices in Canada to suffer the most due to the misalignment of current house prices with historic fundamentals,” Moody’s said. Moody's 認為加拿大的房市,如同澳洲,西班牙,及英國,會受到最重大的創傷, 因為房價與經濟基礎脫離太遠了。 In Canada, the growth in house prices over the past 10 years has ‘’far outstripped” the growth in incomes, according to Moody’s. 在加拿大,房價10年來的漲幅遠遠超過收入的漲幅。 “Think of it like an elastic [being stretched],” explains Mr. Connor of National Bank Financial. “The snap back is going to be a lot harder.” 就像一條拉地很緊的橡皮筋一般,他的回彈將是極為猛烈的。

很感謝長期的堅持,弱弱的問一句,以你現在的貸款能力,可以買那個區 的single house?不方便的話短信也成,沒有別的意思。只是剛剛失去一個理想 的 sh